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Kase Market Commentary

Samples of Kase’s energy and metals price forecasts, daily updates, market commentary, and educational perspectives on technical analysis and trading — published by Dean Rogers, CMT.

RBOB Gasoline Pullback Likely Corrective

Posted on June 22, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

RBOB gasoline prices are weak after stalling at 218.58. This was an important confluence point because it was the 50 percent retracement of the decline from 315.2 and the 0.618 target for the wave up from 122.65. The move up was exhausted once it reached 218.58 and negative factors like a bearish KasePO divergence have … Continue reading RBOB Gasoline Pullback Likely Corrective

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 17, 2015

Posted on June 17, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

Last week we discussed the chart below and the importance of $2.92 as the 0.618 projection of the wave up from $2.54 (not shown) and the 62 percent retracement from $3.15. The chart is being shown again, with a few updates, because not much has changed over the past week. The crucial $2.92 level has … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 17, 2015

Ask Kase: How Long Will the Twitter Bird Sing the Blues?

Posted on June 17, 2015 by ckase in Ask Kase

by Cynthia Kase Read on TraderPlanet.com “Ask Kase” any question you may have about any actively traded security, and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). To an earlier generation the “Dorsey” brought to mind the famed orchestra leader and his acclaimed song, I’ll Never Smile Again. Followers of … Continue reading Ask Kase: How Long Will the Twitter Bird Sing the Blues?

WTI Crude Oil Oscillating in Clearly Defined Range

Posted on June 15, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

The crude oil market as a whole has continued to be dominated by stale and conflicting fundamental, technical, and geopolitical factors. These factors have brought about as much balance to the crude oil markets as Anakin Skywalker brought to the force. The most interesting factor is that many market participants seem to forget that markets … Continue reading WTI Crude Oil Oscillating in Clearly Defined Range

Ask Kase: How To Trade The Shanghai Index

Posted on June 11, 2015 by ckase in Ask Kase

Read on TraderPlanet.com by Cynthia Kase “Ask Kase” any question you may have about any actively traded security, and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). This week’s question for Kase: Is the Shanghai Composite Headed to Shangri-La?

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 10, 2015

Posted on June 10, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

This is an important time for natural gas because the market is moving out of the spring shoulder months and into summer. The market had been poised to test the contract lows, which it did, but the lows held and prices reversed higher this week. The July natural gas futures contract closed above $2.78 resistance … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 10, 2015

Brent Putting Bearish Pressure on Crude Oil Market

Posted on June 08, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

As expected, OPEC is not changing their output, or their strategy of retaining market share, because their strategy is working. Greece may default, pull-out of the European Union, strike some new deal, or do nothing, all of which could send waves through the Eurozone. The dollar is up and then down from day to day. … Continue reading Brent Putting Bearish Pressure on Crude Oil Market

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 3, 2015

Posted on June 03, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

The price of natural gas, or any commodity for that matter, is theoretically the fair price at a given time. Traders will buy gas when they think prices are going to rise, and sell it when they think it will fall. This may be oversimplifying the process a bit (okay, a lot), but the point … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 3, 2015

Crude Oil Prices Attempting to Break Higher

Posted on June 01, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

WTI crude oil prices have been oscillating in a downward sloping channel for the past few weeks and the decline has formed a bullish continuation pattern. Although the formation is not a perfect flag, pennant, wedge, or triangle, it does appear to be corrective. More often than not corrective patterns like this ultimately break higher … Continue reading Crude Oil Prices Attempting to Break Higher

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – May 27, 2015

Posted on May 27, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

Natural gas’ pullback still appears to be corrective, but has positioned itself to test a crucial decision point at $2.71. This is in-line with the $2.711 swing low, the 1.618 projection of the wave down from $3.105, and the 61.8 percent retracement of the move up from $2.443. The $2.71 objective should be challenged ahead … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – May 27, 2015

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Kase and Company, Inc. work products including, but not limited to, reports, comments, forecasts, analysis, and screenshots whether oral or written are “publications” and are not to be construed in any way as “consulting”. No investment or trading advice, recommendation or opinions are being given or intended.

Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.