Kase Commentary on Crude Oil
Institutional-Grade Crude Oil Market Intelligence
Kase’s weekly Commentary on Crude Oil delivers probability-based technical analysis of WTI and Brent crude oil, NY Harbor ULSD, and RBOB gasoline — with exact price targets, statistically derived probability weightings, Monte Carlo simulations, and daily market updates. Purely technical and statistical. Completely independent.
Built for Commodity Market Professionals
The Kase Commentary on Crude Oil serves a wide range of institutional and professional market participants who require precise, independent technical analysis of crude oil and refined products markets:
Energy Traders & Hedge Funds
Systematic decision support for WTI, Brent, diesel, and gasoline positions across the energy complex.
Bank & Proprietary Trading Desks
Independent research to complement internal analysis across crude oil and refined products markets.
Procurement Teams
Technical price direction intelligence for purchasing and hedging timing decisions at airlines, manufacturers, and energy-intensive industrials.
Energy Producers & Royalty Owners
Price forecast intelligence to support production hedging timing and revenue planning decisions for oil and gas producers.
Energy-Intensive Industrials
Price risk intelligence for budget planning and commodity exposure management across fuel and feedstock markets.
Independent & Private Traders
Institutional-grade analysis available at an individual trader subscription rate for qualified independent traders.
More Than a Forecast. A Complete Decision Framework.
The Kase Commentary on Crude Oil is a weekly technical research publication designed for energy traders, hedge fund analysts, procurement teams, and commodity market professionals who need precise, actionable market intelligence — not directional opinion.
Every weekly report delivers a complete analytical framework built around exact price targets with probability weightings, dual scenario analysis, Monte Carlo simulations across five market conditions, and a rigorous examination of market structure, momentum, and volatility. Each element is derived entirely from technical and statistical analysis of market behavior — not fundamental forecasting or macroeconomic opinion.
The result is a research product that tells you not just where the market is likely to go, but the exact price levels at which that call changes, the probability of reaching each target, and the relative confluency of each level in the underlying analysis.
Complete Weekly Coverage — Every Issue
Weekly Report
Each weekly issue covers the following markets with full technical analysis, probability-weighted target tables, and primary and secondary scenario analysis:
- WTI Crude Oil — prompt contract plus four forward contracts
- Brent Crude Oil — prompt contract plus four forward contracts
- NY Harbor ULSD (Diesel) — prompt contract plus four forward contracts
- RBOB Gasoline — prompt contract plus four forward contracts
- WTI-Brent Spread and crack spreads
- USO ETF
- U.S. Dollar Index
- Monte Carlo Simulations — WTI, Brent, ULSD, and RBOB across five probability scenarios
- Trading Chart of the Week — real trade examples using Kase StatWare or KaseX
Daily Updates
Between weekly issues, subscribers receive individual daily market updates covering:
- WTI Crude Oil
- Brent Crude Oil
- NY Harbor ULSD
- RBOB Gasoline
Daily updates provide a concise technical assessment of intraday and day-to-day price action, identifying how key levels and targets are holding or evolving since the weekly report.
Direct Analyst Access
All subscribers receive direct access to Kase’s analysts for questions about the analysis, methodology, or market interpretation. This is not a support desk — it is genuine one-on-one analyst access.
Built for Precision. Designed for Decision-Making.
Each weekly report includes color-coded probability target tables showing:
Exact Price Targets
Precise levels in both the primary and secondary direction with tolerance ranges.
Probability Weightings
Percentage probability for each target being met and closed beyond.
Relative Odds Scores
A 1-to-10 confluency score reflecting how many times each level appears across wave, retracement, pattern, and indicator analysis.
Directional Bias Indicators
Color-coded arrows indicating strong or weak bullish and bearish outlook for each market covered.
Monte Carlo Simulations
A statistically derived 10-day price distribution across five scenarios — strong down, normal down, neutral, normal up, and strong up — for position sizing and risk management.
Getting Started Guide
A complete guide explaining how to read and apply every element of the analysis is provided to all new subscribers at the start of their trial.
Purely Technical and Statistical. Since 1992.
Every price target, probability estimate, directional call, and risk level in the Kase Commentary on Crude Oil is derived from technical and statistical analysis of market behavior. The analysis does not rely on fundamental forecasting, supply and demand modeling, or macroeconomic opinion.
Kase’s analytical framework integrates:
- Proprietary wave analysis and Fibonacci retracement methodology
- A comprehensive suite of proprietary and traditional momentum, trend, and volatility indicators
- Classical and proprietary candlestick pattern recognition
- Chart patterns and wave formation analysis
- Volatility-adaptive statistical risk levels
- Multi-timeframe moving average structure
The weekly overview section contextualizes current fundamental, geopolitical, and macroeconomic conditions — but all directional calls, exact targets, and probability estimates are derived exclusively from technical and statistical analysis of market structure and behavior.
This systematic, repeatable approach has defined Kase’s crude oil analysis since 1992 and differentiates it from both generic technical commentary and fundamental energy research.
Kase’s market commentary and forecasts are analytical publications designed to inform and support each subscriber’s own trading decisions. They are not to be construed as investment advice, trading recommendations, or consulting. All trading and hedging decisions remain the responsibility of the individual or organization.
Subscription Options
Institutional Subscriptions
Established through a 12-month subscription agreement with a 12-month evergreen renewal. Invoiced directly with payment by wire transfer or check. Annual billing available — contact us for details.
| License Type | Users Covered | Monthly Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Firm License | Up to 3 users at one firm | $750/month |
| Office License | Unlimited users at one location | $1,500/month |
| Enterprise License | Unlimited users worldwide | $1,900/month |
Individual Trader Subscription
For independent and private traders. No contract required. Billed monthly or annually via PayPal.
For pricing questions or to discuss which license tier fits your organization, contact us at 505-237-1600.
Start With a Free 30-Day Trial
Experience the full Kase Commentary on Crude Oil before you subscribe. Receive complete weekly reports and daily updates for 30 days at no charge and no obligation.
