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Kase Market Commentary

Samples of Kase’s energy and metals price forecasts, daily updates, market commentary, and educational perspectives on technical analysis and trading — published by Dean Rogers, CMT.

Ask Kase: Is It Time to Hedge Hogs?

Posted on July 08, 2015 by ckase in Ask Kase

by Cynthia A. Kase Read on TraderPlanet.com After last year’s viral outbreak that killed millions of hogs, pork production, now having recovered, looks to set records and overshoot demand. Apparently some commodity advisors are panicking and recommending that their producer clients use lean hog futures to hedge and avoid even lower prices. Is this a … Continue reading Ask Kase: Is It Time to Hedge Hogs?

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 8, 2015

Posted on July 08, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

After the 4th of July weekend the energy markets, unlike the weather across most of the U.S., heated up. The lack of warm summer weather in key areas of the county has given way to lower prices for natural gas. August natural gas futures finally closed below $2.73 on Tuesday and Wednesday. The move has … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 8, 2015

WTI Crude Oil to Challenge $50.5 Decision Point

Posted on July 06, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

As predicted WTI crude oil has broken lower out of the recent trading range and fell by nearly eight percent on Monday. The important 1.382 projection was met at the $52.41 swing low. Key support at $50.5 should be tested tomorrow. We consider this a decision point for a much more bearish outlook and decline … Continue reading WTI Crude Oil to Challenge $50.5 Decision Point

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 1, 2015

Posted on July 01, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

Markets are rarely more balanced that what we have experienced for natural gas over the past few weeks. After August failed to overcome $2.95 it stalled at $2.73, and is now in a mini-range between $2.73 and $2.87. Considering this week marked the end of the month and quarter, and is shortened due to the … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 1, 2015

Ask Kase: 10 Year US Treasury Note

Posted on July 01, 2015 by ckase in Ask Kase

by Cynthia A. Kase Read on TraderPlanet.com Will the 10 Year US Treasury Note be Playing “Bass”? As the 2H2015 commences, fundamental market analysts are lamenting the stock market’s prospects, pointing to low earnings and higher borrowing costs. US Treasury yield spreads are looking positive, which should be, in turn, negative for longer-dated fixed income … Continue reading Ask Kase: 10 Year US Treasury Note

RBOB Gasoline Crack Spread Poised to Narrow

Posted on June 29, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

The RBOB gasoline crack spread widened to $25.64 on Monday and could test $27.77 before narrowing again. Resistance near this level is expected to hold and the crack is poised to narrow now that the 0.618 projection of the wave down from $33.80 was met. We would look to short the crack spread soon because … Continue reading RBOB Gasoline Crack Spread Poised to Narrow

Ask Kase: Will The Sun Shine On Buying Coffee Futures?

Posted on June 25, 2015 by ckase in Ask Kase

by Cynthia Kase Those of us who can remember KC and the Sunshine Band’s emergence in 1975 are now in need of a different kind of KC – coffee futures – to stay bright. Baby Boomers may be counted on to steadily drink the stuff, but it might be another kind of baby who might … Continue reading Ask Kase: Will The Sun Shine On Buying Coffee Futures?

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 24, 2015

Posted on June 24, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

Day-to-day speculation regarding summer weather forecasts continue to dominate short-term natural gas prices. The lack of clarity has caused natural gas to settle into a range between $2.55 and $2.95 after failing to close over the upper end of the range last week. Technical factors show that prices are due for a test of the … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 24, 2015

RBOB Gasoline Pullback Likely Corrective

Posted on June 22, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

RBOB gasoline prices are weak after stalling at 218.58. This was an important confluence point because it was the 50 percent retracement of the decline from 315.2 and the 0.618 target for the wave up from 122.65. The move up was exhausted once it reached 218.58 and negative factors like a bearish KasePO divergence have … Continue reading RBOB Gasoline Pullback Likely Corrective

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 17, 2015

Posted on June 17, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

Last week we discussed the chart below and the importance of $2.92 as the 0.618 projection of the wave up from $2.54 (not shown) and the 62 percent retracement from $3.15. The chart is being shown again, with a few updates, because not much has changed over the past week. The crucial $2.92 level has … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – June 17, 2015

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Kase and Company, Inc. work products including, but not limited to, reports, comments, forecasts, analysis, and screenshots whether oral or written are “publications” and are not to be construed in any way as “consulting”. No investment or trading advice, recommendation or opinions are being given or intended.

Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.