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Kase Market Commentary

Samples of Kase’s energy and metals price forecasts, daily updates, market commentary, and educational perspectives on technical analysis and trading — published by Dean Rogers, CMT.

Natural Gas Forecast: Failure to Overcome Key Resistance…Again

Posted on August 05, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

By Dean Rogers Patience is a virtue. Natural gas has been trying the patience of traders as it continues to trade in a range between approximately $2.65 and $2.95. This week’s rise from $2.706 is very similar to last week’s move up from $2.735, and given today’s decline and close below $2.80, it looks like … Continue reading Natural Gas Forecast: Failure to Overcome Key Resistance…Again

CBOE Volatility Index: Vexed by the VIX?

Posted on August 05, 2015 by ckase in Ask Kase

by Cynthia A. Kase Read on TraderPlanet.com The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, has been chopping around erratically, oscillating between lows in the 11.4 to 11.8 range and testing highs generally in the mid to upper teens, but occasionally spiking fitfully into the low 20s. Resistance at 17.19 was tested twice earlier this year, and from … Continue reading CBOE Volatility Index: Vexed by the VIX?

Is RBOB Gasoline Due for a Correction?

Posted on August 03, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

By Dean Rogers RBOB Gasoline futures tested support at 167.43 on Monday and have taken out the crucial 169.25 swing low. The outlook is negative, but many technical factors, including Monday’s dip below the lower Bollinger Band, indicate a correction should take place once 160.0 is met. This is the confluence point between the 62 … Continue reading Is RBOB Gasoline Due for a Correction?

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 29, 2015

Posted on July 29, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

By Dean Rogers Natural gas continues to oscillate in a range between $2.65 and $2.95 as weather forecasts change from week-to-week. “Sweltering” heat in the US Northeast is the latest reason reported for this week’s price rise. However, it is important to keep in mind that the shifting weather forecasts and related events have kept … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 29, 2015

Why Is The US Dollar In The Doldrums?

Posted on July 29, 2015 by ckase in Ask Kase

Read on TraderPlanet.com By Cynthia A. Kase On Tuesday pundits were aflutter because the US Dollar had an up day, pointing to expectations that the Fed would soon clarify its intentions to raise rates. Technically, Tuesday was a “star” with a very small range, an inside bar which closed well below Monday’s open. It was … Continue reading Why Is The US Dollar In The Doldrums?

Brent Crude Oil Approaches Crucial $52.8 Support

Posted on July 27, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

By Dean Rogers Crude oil has taken on a strong bearish tone. There is very little technical evidence, and even less fundamental evidence, that the decline is going to end. However, it is almost always darkest before dawn and there are a few factors that show a correction should take place soon. Last week’s update … Continue reading Brent Crude Oil Approaches Crucial $52.8 Support

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 22, 2015

Posted on July 22, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

Natural gas is idling in neutral again and is struggling to overcome key resistance levels. We are still negative for the longer-term, but the near term outlook is looking slightly positive. The small move up is confirmed by long KaseX signals (green diamonds) on the $0.035 Kase Bar chart. In addition, Wednesday’s close over $2.895, … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 22, 2015

Ask Kase: Is It Time To Go For The Gold?

Posted on July 22, 2015 by ckase in Ask Kase

Read on TraderPlaner.com by Cynthia Kase With the first increases in interest rates in over nine years looming, and the dollar strong, and gold supplies reportedly healthy, especially in China, gold is looking especially weak. After a strong decline on Monday, it bounced a bit on Tuesday, so, is it time to “go for the gold”. … Continue reading Ask Kase: Is It Time To Go For The Gold?

WTI Crude Oil Unfolding as Five-Wave Trend

Posted on July 20, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Oil Price Forecast

Prompt month WTI crude oil futures briefly fell below $50.0 on Monday and settled at the lowest level since April 2. The deal with Iran has led to fresh concerns about the global supply glut and most technical factors are negative. RBOB gasoline is lending some support, but on balance, the decline is poised to … Continue reading WTI Crude Oil Unfolding as Five-Wave Trend

Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 15, 2015

Posted on July 15, 2015 by Dean Rogers, CMT in Natural Gas Price Forecast

August natural gas is attempting to rally above $3.00 after stalling at $2.644 last Thursday. The surge over the last week may be a desperate attempt to push prices to targets above $3.00 before summer’s end, and is being driven by speculation of above normal temperatures through the end of this month and into August. … Continue reading Midweek Natural Gas Forecast – July 15, 2015

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Kase and Company, Inc. work products including, but not limited to, reports, comments, forecasts, analysis, and screenshots whether oral or written are “publications” and are not to be construed in any way as “consulting”. No investment or trading advice, recommendation or opinions are being given or intended.

Risk Disclosure: Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.