11/12/2014 Kase Chat – Kase Wave Analysis Part 4 of 4



This is the fourth of a four part series on Kase Wave Analysis. In this video Kase’s senior analyst, Dean Rogers, shows how the Kase Wave Analysis can be combined with other technical factors and indicators to make trading decisions.

http://youtu.be/3JcHjdr2QWM

This is the third of a four part series on Kase Wave Analysis. In this video Kase’s senior analyst, Dean Rogers, demonstrates how to identify confluent support and resistance levels using Fibonacci wave projections. This is “where the rubber meets the road” with Kase Wave Analysis. Upon completion of this session you will be able to identify the key support and resistance levels using Kase Wave analysis.

Identify and remove wave projections that have been met by using swing highs and lows
Calculate True Range and determine an appropriate cluster size for confluence points
Demonstrate the ability to cluster wave projections into confluence points
Explain which support and resistance targets are the most crucial based upon confluence

http://youtu.be/aEQsFj-DRJ8

December WTI broke the recent and crucial $79.1 swing low when prices fell to a $78.14 intraday low on Monday. This was the 1.00 projection for the two largest waves down from $106.81 (Wave A) and $103.66 (Wave A’/C). WTI is now poised for at least $73.9 and possibly $69.8, which are the next targets for these waves. Look for near-term resistance at $79.8, $83.0, and $84.8.

For more information about this call, the importance of these targets (and others), and the technical factors driving prices lower, take a trial of Kase’s weekly energy forecasts.

December WTI



Successful long term hedging requires logical decision-making. Hedgers need to understand the underlying structure of the market and longer-term behavior in order to find points that minimize the risk and maximize the results of a hedge plan. It is also important to find the best balance for your company between budget oriented goals and achieving better than market prices. The HedgeModel identifies these low risk points and can be custom tailored to whatever strategy is befitting your mixture of goals and risk tolerance.

The HedgeModel is statistically based and does not require any previous trading experience to use. It is more-or-less mechanical and requires only 15 to 20 minutes per day to operate. It is data driven, so it works on any historic data stream in energy, including natural gas, crude oil, refined products, petrochemicals and crack spreads.

The Natural Gas Hedge Report is a companion product to Kase’s HedgeModel that includes a forecast for the perpetual, three-, six- and twelve-month strips. It also includes recommendations on how to set hedging strategies for the forthcoming quarter, changes to the settings used by HedgeModel, low-risk hedge targets, recommendations on what instruments to use, a track record and mark to market of recommended strategies, and research results.

Kase also performs ongoing research into market behavior and structure. Our research is oriented toward improving the results of our clients’ hedging strategies. In addition to a thorough evaluation of basis and correlation analysis, standard research in our quarterly Hedge Reports includes Monte Carlo simulations for estimating price distributions and objectives, statistical analysis of price and volatility, and cyclical behavior.

http://youtu.be/P3aigMq7h0A