Market Forecasts and Insights
Kase Market Commentary
Samples of Kase’s energy and metals price forecasts, daily updates, market commentary, and educational perspectives on technical analysis and trading — published by Dean Rogers, CMT.
Market Forecasts and Insights
Samples of Kase’s energy and metals price forecasts, daily updates, market commentary, and educational perspectives on technical analysis and trading — published by Dean Rogers, CMT.
WTI confirmed a double bottom and broke higher out of an intra-day coil this afternoon. The move up is poised to challenge at least $63.5 and likely $64.2 during the next day or so. Support at $61.7 is expected to hold.
Gold has reconfirmed a double bottom around $1676 by settling well above $1756 today. The move up is now poised to reach $1776 and likely $1788 during the next few days. The double bottom’s target is $1837.
Near-term odds for natural gas still bullish and a test of $2.69 is expected. However, today’s shooting star warns that the move up might be short-lived and that natural gas could remain range-bound.
WTI continues to trade in a range, but near-term odds lean in favor of challenging $61.4. Closing above this will call for $62.5 and then a bullish decision point at $63.8. Conversely, should WTI take out $59.1, look for another test of support within the trading range that could lead to a test of a bearish decision point at $55.7.
Gold confirmed a double bottom around $1676 by settling above $1756 today. The move up is now poised to reach $1770 and likely $1788 during the next few days. The double bottom’s target is $1837.
Natural gas retains a firm bearish outlook even after today’s somewhat surprising bounce. Looking for $2.46 and likely $2.40, which is a potential stalling point, during the next few days. Resistance at $2.59 is expected to hold.
WTI is still stuck in a trading range. Near-term odds lean bearish, but the primary takeaway from today’s analysis is to watch for either a close below $57.2 or above $62.5 in the coming days. Closing beyond either threshold would then call for a test of the longer-term bearish or bullish decision points at $55.7 or $63.8, respectively.
Natural gas has formed a bearish flag that is poised to break lower upon a close below $2.57. Settling below $2.57 will clear the way for $2.51 and lower.
WTI is still stuck in a trading range. Trading is expected to be erratic and somewhat indecisive ahead of the OPEC+ meeting later this week. Even so, an intra-day head and shoulders pattern suggests a test of support within the trading range will like take place tomorrow.
Gold remains indecisive, but the move up from $1673.3 is most likely corrective. Near-term odds lean in favor of a continued decline and a close below $1720 will call for $1707 and possibly lower during the next few days.