Market Forecasts and Insights
Kase Market Commentary
Samples of Kase’s energy and metals price forecasts, daily updates, market commentary, and educational perspectives on technical analysis and trading — published by Dean Rogers, CMT.
Natural Gas Price Forecast – March 24, 2021
Natural gas is hesitant to definitively take out $2.50. However, near-term odds continue to favor $2.45 and then $2.40. Resistance at $2.56 is expected to hold and $2.61 is key.
Crude Oil Price Forecast – March 23, 2021
The near-term outlook for WTI remains bearish and the move down is unfolding as either a five-wave pattern or a three-wave extension. Tomorrow’s move down should shed more light on the wave count. However, in either case, WTI is poised to reach targets in the low $50s.
Gold Price Forecast – March 18, 2021
The outlook for gold in the coming weeks is bearish and the decline is positioned to eventually challenge $1631. The recent move up from $1673.3 is likely corrective and is already showing signs that it might be complete.
Natural Gas Price Forecast – March 17, 2021
The long-term outlook for natural gas is bearish and Monday’s close below $2.52 calls for an eventual decline to $2.39 and $2.30. However, based on the small wave up from $2.478, near-term odds lean in favor of testing $2.59 first.
Crude Oil Price Forecast – March 16, 2021
The next substantial move for WTI crude oil will likely be determined by either a close below $63.4 or above $65.8. As of this afternoon, odds lean slightly in favor of at least a test of $63.4. A move below $64.3 early tomorrow will increase those odds.
Gold Price Forecast – March 11, 2021
Gold’s move up is most likely corrective of the decline that is still poised to reach $1631. The correction is positioned to reach $1750. However, the correction could prove to be short-lived. Should gold fall below $1713 early tomorrow look for a test of key near-term support at $1698 instead.
Natural Gas Price Forecast – March 10, 2021
Natural gas is struggling to take out support at $2.60 and extend to the next major downside target at $2.53. Odds still favor this move, but a test of $2.74 and possibly $2.79 first has become likely. Resistance at $2.79 is expected to hold.
Crude Oil Price Forecast – March 9, 2021
WTI crude oil settled below $64.2 and confirmed Monday’s bearish dark cloud cover pattern. Tomorrow, look for a test of $63.1 and likely $62.5. Key support and the barrier for a much more significant test of support is currently $61.4.
Gold Price Forecast – March 4, 2021
Gold is poised to fall to $1631. However, there is near-term support at $1687 that might prove to be a temporary stalling point. Even so, any move up before reaching $1631 will likely prove to be a short-lived correction.
Natural Gas Price Forecast – March 3, 2021
Natural gas held resistance around $2.88 and is poised to test $2.77 tomorrow. Closing below $2.77 will strongly imply that the corrective move up from $2.697 is complete.
