Market Forecasts and Insights
Kase Market Commentary
Samples of Kase’s energy and metals price forecasts, daily updates, market commentary, and educational perspectives on technical analysis and trading — published by Dean Rogers, CMT.
Market Forecasts and Insights
Samples of Kase’s energy and metals price forecasts, daily updates, market commentary, and educational perspectives on technical analysis and trading — published by Dean Rogers, CMT.
Natural gas’ pullback from Monday’s high indicates the rally was too much too soon. Prices are expected to settle back into a range soon. However, given the aggressive nature of the reversal, an extended test of support might take place first.
WTI fulfilled an important target at $67.0 and negated the double and triple top patterns that formed around $66.65. The move up is now poised to reach at least $68.1 during the next few days. To do so, WTI must hold $62.9 and settle above $66.6.
Gold is struggling to reach the next major objective at $1857 but also failed to confirm a small double top today. The pullback from $1846.3 is likely corrective, but the outlook for the next few days is tight.
Natural gas remains indecisive but is poised to break higher out of a bullish expanding wedge. This will negate a complex head and shoulders pattern and clear the way for $3.02 and possibly higher during the next few days.
The near-term outlook for WTI is tight but leans bullish headed into tomorrow. Rising above $65.9 will increase odds for a test of $66.8 and $67.7. However, support at $64.1 must hold.
Gold settled above a highly confluent $1806 objective today and is now poised to challenge the $1676 double bottom’s target at $1837 in the coming days. Support at $1801 is expected to hold and $1787 is key support for the near-term outlook.
Natural gas is still poised to challenge a highly confluent $3.03 target. However, the move up is showing signs of exhaustion. For now, support is expected to hold, but downside risk is increasing.
The outlook for WTI is bullish and the move up is poised to reach $66.7 and then a major objective at $67.7 during the next few days. However, there are a few technical factors that warn a test of support might take place first.
Gold’s pullback from $1798.4 still looks corrective. Odds favor a continued rise and a close above $1791 will clear the way for at least $1806. However, downside risk is increasing and a close below $1738 will call for a test of major support at $1724.
The outlook for natural gas is bullish and the wave formations call for a test of $3.03. However, a daily shooting star warns that a test of $2.91 and possibly $2.87 will probably take place first. Closing below $2.87 would shift near-term odds in favor of a deeper test of support.