WTI Crude Oil Short-Term Forecast – October 17, 2017

WTI crude oil met support at $51.3 before stalling at $51.21. The move down has been choppy and forms a bullish wedge on the $0.35 Kase Bar chart. The move up from $51.21 was aggressive and is poised to break higher out of the wedge and challenge key resistance at $52.5 again tomorrow. A close above this would open the way for $53.0, $53.5, and ultimately $54.2, the next major objective.

WTI Crude Oil $0.35 Kase Bars
WTI Crude Oil $0.35 Kase Bars

That said, prices pulled back a bit this afternoon, therefore a test of $51.4 might take place first, but support is expected to hold. A move below $51.4 before $52.5 is met would call for $51.1 and possibly $50.3. The near-term outlook becomes negative again upon a close below $50.3, the 62 percent retracement of the move up from $49.1 and the 1.618 projection of the wave $52.37 – 51.21 – 52.17.

This is a brief analysis for the next day or so. Our weekly Crude Oil Commentary and daily updates are much more detailed and thorough energy price forecasts that cover WTI, Brent, RBOB Gasoline, Diesel, and spreads. If you are interested in learning more, please sign up for a complimentary four-week trial.

Published by

Dean Rogers, CMT

Dean Rogers, CMT is the general manager of the Kase Call Center in Albuquerque, New Mexico. He oversees all of Kase and Company, Inc.’s operations including research and development, marketing, and client support. Dean began his career with Kase in early 2001 as a programmer but has developed into Kase’s senior technical analyst. He writes Kase’s award-winning weekly Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Metals Commentaries. He is an instructor at Kase's classes and webinars and provides all of the necessary training and support for Kase's hedging models and trading indicators for both retail and institutional traders.

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