Crude Oil Price Forecast – January 26, 2021

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis and Short-Term Forecast

WTI crude oil rose to challenge $53.3 as called for in yesterday’s update. The move up stalled near this threshold and began to pull back again. So far, the move down from $53.25 has retraced just over 38 percent of the move up from $51.44. This is still not a clear call higher or lower, but based on today’s price action, odds lean in favor of testing $51.8 tomorrow. Closing below this will clear the way for $50.6, a confluent wave projection, retracement, and the target for the intra-day triple top that formed around $53.9.

WTI Crude Oil - $0.35 Kase Bar Chart
WTI Crude Oil – $0.35 Kase Bar Chart

Nevertheless, there is little doubt that the move down from $53.94 will prove to be corrective of the larger scale uptrend. Furthermore, because $52.56, the 38 percent retracement if the rise from $51.44, held on a closing basis there is still a good chance that the pullback from $52.35 is a simple correction of the wave formation up from $51.44. Should WTI overcome $53.3 look for a test of the $53.94 swing high. Settling above this will clear the way for $54.8 and higher.

This is a brief analysis for the next day or so. Our weekly Crude Oil Forecast and daily updates are much more detailed and thorough energy price forecasts that cover WTI, Brent, RBOB Gasoline, Diesel, and spreads. If you are interested in learning more, please sign up for a complimentary four-week trial

Published by

Dean Rogers, CMT

Dean Rogers, CMT is the general manager of the Kase Call Center in Albuquerque, New Mexico. He oversees all of Kase and Company, Inc.’s operations including research and development, marketing, and client support. Dean began his career with Kase in early 2001 as a programmer but has developed into Kase’s senior technical analyst. He writes Kase’s award-winning weekly Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Metals Commentaries. He is an instructor at Kase's classes and webinars and provides all of the necessary training and support for Kase's hedging models and trading indicators for both retail and institutional traders.

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