Crude Oil Forecast: Trading Range forms Bullish Technical Patterns

By Dean Rogers

Last week we stated WTI and Brent would likely settled into trading ranges while sorting out longer-term fundamental factors and the late August price surge. That has been the case, and so far the oscillations have formed a flat descending triangle for WTI and a pennant for Brent.

WTI and Brent patterns

Both patterns are bullish, but have a higher than normal probability to fail in our opinion. Even upon a break higher we do not expect a bullish rally to ensue, but rather a test of the recent swing highs.

Should the patterns fail look for major support at $42.6 for WTI and $46.7 for Brent. In other words, we think the trading range will continue to form between approximately $42.6 and $49.0 for WTI and $46.7 and $52.0 for Brent.

This is a brief analysis and outlook for the next day or so. Our weekly Crude Oil Commentary is a much more detailed and thorough energy price forecast. If you are interested, please sign up for a complimentary four week trial.

Published by

Dean Rogers, CMT

Dean Rogers, CMT is the general manager of the Kase Call Center in Albuquerque, New Mexico. He oversees all of Kase and Company, Inc.’s operations including research and development, marketing, and client support. Dean began his career with Kase in early 2001 as a programmer but has developed into Kase’s senior technical analyst. He writes Kase’s award-winning weekly Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Metals Commentaries. He is an instructor at Kase's classes and webinars and provides all of the necessary training and support for Kase's hedging models and trading indicators for both retail and institutional traders.

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