WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis and Short-Term Forecast
This is a brief analysis for the next day or so. Our weekly Crude Oil Forecast is a much more detailed and thorough energy price forecasts that cover WTI, Brent, RBOB Gasoline, Diesel, and spreads. Daily updates are included. If you are interested in learning more, please sign up for a complimentary four-week trial.
WTI crude oil traded within Monday’s range today. This suggests that traders are waiting for more information and that prices will possibly consolidate for a few more days. The uptrend is intact, but daily bearish KaseCD, MACD, and RSI divergences confirmed off the $110.93 high warn that a deeper correction might occur first. Furthermore, WTI is poised to test the $100.2 smaller than (0.618) target of the wave down from $110.93. Closing below this will call for an extended correction to challenge this wave’s $95.3 equal (1.00) target before the uptrend extends to a new contract high.
Nevertheless, the equal to target of the wave down from $107.46 at $100.8 and the 78 percent retracement of the rise from $99.11 held this afternoon. Prices have risen from this area and overcame the 21 percent retracement from $107.46. The outlook for tomorrow is tight, and overcoming the 38 percent retracement at $103.5 would call for a test of the 62 percent retracement and the smaller than target of the wave up from $99.11 at $105.3. Overcoming this would call for a push to challenge key near-term resistance and this wave’s equal to target at $108.3. Settling above $108.3 will put the near-term odds back in favor of WTI crude oil rising to $111.1 and higher.


