Crude Oil Price Forecast – April 30, 2024

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis and Short-Term Forecast

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WTI crude oil fell to challenge resilient support at the $81.0 target of a confirmed double top that formed around $86.9. The $81.0 target held again, and prices formed a wave up from $80.95 that warns a test of $82.8 might take place first. Even so, the move up will likely be a correction because the waves down from $86.97 and $85.64 have fulfilled their smaller than (0.618) targets. Waves that meet the smaller than target typically extend to at least the equal to (1.00) target, in this case, $79.7 for both waves. Closing below $81.0 will open the way for tests of $80.3 and the $79.7 objective within the next few days.

With that said, WTI crude oil’s pullback from $86.97 may form a bullish flat descending triangle. This is a continuation pattern, a break higher out of which would be confirmed by a close above key near-term resistance at $84.6. Should WTI crude oil overcome $82.8 look for a test of $83.3 and possibly $84.6. Settling above $84.6 would strongly suggest that the corrective pullback from $86.97 is complete and shift the odds in favor of WTI crude oil rising to $$85.1 and higher.

Published by

Dean Rogers, CMT

Dean Rogers, CMT is the general manager of the Kase Call Center in Albuquerque, New Mexico. He oversees all of Kase and Company, Inc.’s operations including research and development, marketing, and client support. Dean began his career with Kase in early 2001 as a programmer but has developed into Kase’s senior technical analyst. He writes Kase’s award-winning weekly Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Metals Commentaries. He is an instructor at Kase's classes and webinars and provides all of the necessary training and support for Kase's hedging models and trading indicators for both retail and institutional traders.