Crude Oil Forecast: WTI Technical Failure Leads to Bearish Outlook

By Dean Rogers

December WTI’s wave $39.22 – 50.89 – 44.31, which met its 0.618 projection at $51.42, has been taken out by the $43.64 swing low. Consequently a technical failure of the move up has taken place and odds have shifted in favor of a continued decline. Look for $43.0 tomorrow and very likely $42.5 over the next few days. A close below $42.5 would confirm the negative outlook and technical failure. There is an outside chance that the support trend line will hold. Look for resistance at $45.4 and $46.5.

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This is a brief analysis and outlook for the next day or so. Our weekly Crude Oil Commentary is a much more detailed and thorough energy price forecast. If you are interested, please sign up for a complimentary four week trial.

Published by

Dean Rogers

Dean Rogers is the general manager of the Kase Call Center in Albuquerque, New Mexico. He oversees all of Kase and Company, Inc.’s operations including research and development, marketing, and client support. Dean began his career with Kase in early 2001 as a programmer, but has developed into Kase’s senior technical analyst. He writes Kase’s award winning weekly Crude Oil and Natural Gas Commentaries. He is an instructor at Kase’s classes and webinars and provides all of the necessary training and support for Kase’s hedging models and trading indicators for both retail and institutional traders.

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