LME Copper Price Forecast – October 16, 2025

LME Copper Technical Analysis and Near-Term Outlook

The near-term call for copper remains extremely tight and has become a near 50/50 call. Tomorrow’s outlook leans bearish, but it is beginning to look like the corrective move down from $11000 will fail to extend. The key levels to watch are $10448 and $10794 ahead of the weekend.

The wave down from $10864.5 fulfilled its $10518 smaller than (0.618) target today, so this wave calls for a continued decline that would challenge the key $10448 smaller than (0.618) target of the wave down from $11000. Settling below $10448 will clear the way for a test of this wave’s $10201 equal to (1.00) target before the uptrend extends to a new high.

That said, copper must take out $10518 again, and the wave up from $10463 is approaching its $10677 smaller than target. Overcoming this would call for a test of this wave’s $10794 equal to target. This is key near-term resistance because $10794 is also the smaller than target of the wave up from $10326. Settling above $10794 will imply that the corrective pullback from $11000 is complete, opening the way for $10917 and higher.

Published by

Dean Rogers, CMT

Dean Rogers, CMT is the President of Kase and Company, Inc. He oversees all of Kase's operations including research and development, marketing, and client support. Dean began his career with Kase in early 2000 as a programmer but developed into Kase’s senior technical analyst and became President of the company in January 2024. He writes Kase’s award-winning weekly Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Metals Commentaries. He is an instructor at Kase's classes and webinars and provides all of the necessary training and support for Kase's hedging models and trading indicators for both retail and institutional traders.