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©2006, 2007, 2008
Kase and Company, Inc.
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of Kase and Company, Inc.
Compliance Statement & Disclaimer
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Natural Gas Hedge Service
Successful long term hedging requires logical decision-making. Hedgers need to understand the underlying structure of the market and longer-term behavior in order to find points that minimize the risk and maximize the results of a hedge plan. It is also important to find the best balance for your company between budget oriented goals and achieving better than market prices. The HedgeModel Indicators identify these low risk points and can be custom tailored to whatever strategy is befitting your mixture of goals and risk tolerance.
The HedgeModel is statistically based and does not require any previous trading experience to use. It is more-or-less mechanical and requires only 15 to 20 minutes per day to operate. It is data driven, so it works on any historic data stream in energy, including natural gas, crude oil, refined products, petrochemicals and crack spreads.
The Natural Gas Hedge Report is a companion product to Kase's HedgeModel that includes a forecast for the perpetual, three-, six- and twelve-month strips. It also includes recommendations on how to set hedging strategies for the forthcoming quarter, changes to the settings used by HedgeModel, low-risk hedge targets, recommendations on what instruments to use, a track record and mark to market of recommended strategies, and research results.
Kase also performs ongoing research into market behavior and structure. Our research is oriented toward improving the results of our clients' hedging strategies. In addition to a thorough evaluation of basis and correlation analysis, standard research in our quarterly Hedge Reports includes Monte Carlo simulations for estimating price distributions and objectives, statistical analysis of price and volatility, and cyclical behavior.
Product Descriptions
Product Pricing
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| Hedge Service including Hedge Report and HedgeModel. Hedge Service subscribers receive Commentary on complimentary basis. |
| One Unit |
$2,100/month per Commodity |
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| Site License, Limited |
$3,900/month per Commodity |
| Site License, Unlimited |
$5,700/month per Commodity |
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| For A Complete Fee Schedule Click Here |
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HedgeModel Features
- Does not require a live data-feed, but reads "strips" posted to Kase's Web Site daily
- Automatically searches for the most conservative, high probability hedge points over a range of time frames
- Identifies market conditions by color coded dots
- Identifies hedge entry points with fix forward versus option triggers
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Hedge Report Features
- Technical price forecast for the upcoming quarter based upon perpetual, three-, six- and twelve-month strips
- Hedging strategies and recommended hedge instruments
- Review of the past quarter's strategies and hedges placed based upon actual HedgeModel triggers generated in real time
- Market research including Monte Carlo simulations, price and volatility studies, and cyclical behavior analysis
- Basis and Regression analysis for all Inside FERC pipelines published by Platts
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